Uncertainty in Ocean Environment






(1) Chu, P.C., S.H. Lu, and W.T. Liu, 1999: Uncertainty of the South China Sea prediction using NSCAT and NCEP winds during tropical storm Ernie 1996. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, 11273-11289 (paper download).

(2) Chu, P.C., 1999: Two kinds of predictability in Lorenz system. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 56, 1427-1432 (paper download).

(3) Chu, P.C., L.M. Ivanov, C.W. Fan, 2002: Backward Fokker-Planck equation for determining model valid prediction period. Journal of Geophysical Research, 107, C6, 10.1029/2001JC000879, (paper download).

(4) Chu, P.C., L.M., Ivanov, T.M. Margolina, and O.V. Melnichenko, 2002: On probabilistic stability of an atmospheric model to various amplitude perturbations. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 59, 2860-2873 (paper download).

(5) Chu, P.C., L. Ivanov, L. Kantha, O. Melnichenko, and Y. Poberezhny, 2002: Power law decay in model predictability skill. Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (15), 10.1029/2002GLO14891 (paper download).

(6) Chu, P.C., and J. Lan, 2003: Extremely strong thermohaline source/sinks generated by diagnostic initilization. Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (6), doi: 10.1029/2002GL016525 (paper download).

(7) Chu, P.C., and L.M. Ivanov, 2005: Statistical characteristics of irreversible predictability time in regional ocean models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 12, 1-10 (paper download).

(8)  Chu, P.C., C.-L. Fang, and C.S. Kim, 2005: Japan/East Sea model predictability. Continental Shelf Research, 25, 2107-2121 (paper download).

(9) Ivanov, L. M., and P.C. Chu, 2007: On stochastic stability of regional ocean models to finite-amplitude perturbations of initial conditions. Dynamics of Atmosphere and Oceans, 43, (3-4), 199-225 (paper download).


(10) Ivanov, L. M., and P.C. Chu, 2007: On stochastic stability of regional ocean models with uncertainty in wind forcing.  Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 14, 655-670 (paper download). 

(11) Chu, P. C., 2008: Probability distribution function of the upper equatorial Pacific current speeds. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2008GL033669 (paper download).


(12) Chu, P. C., 2009: Statistical Characteristics of the Global Surface Current Speeds Obtained from Satellite Altimeter and Scatterometer Data. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 2 (1), 27-32 (paper download).


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