Re: Zhang et al. poster


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Posted by Dongxiao Zhang on November 07, 2000 at 12:49:05:

In Reply to: Zhang et al. poster posted by Alison Macdonald on November 06, 2000 at 12:11:55:

Hi Alison,

Thanks for your time to lead the discussion and your intriguing
comments and suggestions, and also again for your kind support by providing
us your initial results of the North Pacific Hydrobase data set.

: Dongxiao,
: This is an interesting setup for looking at other
: people's work. I like the poster you present, though I must
: say that I found parts of it difficult to understand either
: because the text and/or figures were too small or too out of
: focus to read, or just because it was hard to view some of the
: comparisons simultaneously. I guess this is something which
: we will all get practice in, as we create our posters for
: internet viewing.

Yes, just like a real poster, we can not show the detailed interpretation of
the figures and tables, this makes it hard to understand in detail
especially the comparisons without discussion between the presenter and
viewers. This is exactly what the Forum is for.

We just submitted this paper and would like to mail a copy to you. The
mail address I have is still the one at OSU. Can you give me your
current address?


: I haven't had a great deal of time to go through the
: poster in detail, but since I have been asked, let me pose
: a few questions and make a few comments and suggestions.

: In the introduction you mention the fairly large range in
: available estimates of heat flux across 24N, but note, that
: if one tosses out the two oldest (Talley 84 and Hastenrath 80),
: everybody else's solutions are consistent with yours to within
: what we shall assume are 1 sigma standard deviation error bars.
: I guess you could quibble about Trenberth and Solomon, but why
: bother? I would venture to guess, but please correct me if I
: am wrong, that this is because the indirect methods do include
: some estimate of seasonal variations. And the direct methods
: included some estimate in the error bar for the uncertainty
: associated with the synopticity of a hydrographic section.
: Also, note that in particular, your estimate is not only
: consistent with mine, it is also consistent with Bryden et al.
: That is, to within the uncertainties you cannot distinguish
: them.

Yes, in some sense, all the estimates are close to some medium value
within error bar (either large or small), but this can not rule out any
one or favor the medium one in representing the "truth". There are some
systematic errors in these estimates, e.g. the error of satellite
measurement and bad data coverage in the interior ocean in some previous
indirect methods as pointed out by Trenberth. One purpose of this study
is to show the variability and possible error sources for different
components and to understand what the total error could be for the method we
use.
One major difference can be distinguished between your estimate and Bryden
et al. (although close to each other within error bar) was the
different wind products chosen in the two studies (see detailed comparisons of
the four wind products in our study). Without this difference, your two
estimates could be different by only 0.1PW.


: By the way have you seen any of the results of Alex Ganchaud's
: global inverse model? His thesis has a nice discussion on the
: errors for his model and uses the results of Stephen Jayne's
: thesis to point out that much of the seasonal variation in
: Ekman mass transport is compensated for by a depth independent
: return flow with the adjustment taking place in an inertial
: period. Therefore, as long as time mean winds are used, estimates
: of mass and heat transport from hydrographic surveys will not
: be affected by large wind-induced seasonal signals.

Great. Do you know if they have published their results or do they have
preprints? From all these results, together with Boning (1994) and
Wilkin (1995)'s model results, the fact that the seasonal variation in
Ekman mass transport is compensated for by a depth independent
return flow with the adjustment taking place almost simultaneously
has been well established.

Another fact that favoring the transbasin hydrographic surveys in estimating the
annual mean heat transport is that the interior baroclinic adjustment is so
slow that the interior baroclinic heat transport component estimated from a
single survey is not biased by seasonal variations.

Then, the only potential large seasonal bias for the single hydrographic
survey is the seasonal variability of the Kuroshio component. Though much
smaller than the Ekman heat flux, the seasonal amplitude of the Q_K is about
0.45 PW, certainly unnegligible.


: You might mention that your estimated eddy contribution to the
: heat flux is even smaller than the estimate used by Bryden et
: al. in determining their uncertainty.

Yes. The only backup, I can find, to the small eddy contribution at this
latitude band of the Pacific is Stammer (1998), who showed
negligible meridional eddy heat flux at this section but
quickly increased away from this latitude band.

: You have used ETC in the "methods" section before writing it
: out in the next section. I don't actually see it defined
: anywhere. You really ought have both ETC and ERC labelled
: on both versions of the geographic plots.

Thanks.

: The tiny text in the method section is almost unreadable. I am
: also confused about your use of Q_I. "Interior" as Harry
: Bryden uses it, means the interior of the basin, so that
: a term V_k would never exist. What am I missing?

V_k does not exist in our Q_I calculation either. We should have
made the method section larger. (Kathy: Can you do this? Thanks.)

: The curves in the volume and temperature transport plots
: in the moored array section are not distinguishable. Did
: this plot used to be in color?

: Hydrography section: What does it mean: Levitus 1994 with
: an enhanced hydrobase? (hydrobase is derived from levitus 1994).

We have included more data between 20-30N in the hydrobase you sent to us.
These data recently available to us include the new data in NODC 1998, the new
surveys in the western Pacific, and the XBT data paired with salinity
based on T-S relationship.

: Where is Keelung and Ishigaki?

Keelung and Ishigaki are shown in the geographic map by the diamonds for
tide gauges (KL and IG).

: Why does this temperature/volume transport relationship
: exist between the Kuroshio and the Florida Current?

The flow averaged temperature in both Kuroshio and Florida Current have
little variation in time so that the temperature transport can be
estimated by the products of rho.Cd, mean temperature, and
volume transport time series, where the rho.Cd is about the same in both the
two currents. Note the flow averaged temperature in the Florida Current
is larger than that in the Kuroshio.

: Why is a large amplitude seasonal cycle across 24N in the
: Pacific surprising?

: -0.07 PW with a fairly hefty error bar is hardly a nonintuitive
: southward heat flux. Until fairly recently (1990) the sign
: of the heat flux at this latitude was in question (see
: Bryden et al).

The model simulated southward heat flux in Feb., also in Husing et al, suggest
this southward heat flux might exist at this latitude in winter due to heat
content change.

: There are probably other questions I could ask, but this
: isn't meant to be a review. By the way - the seasonal cycle
: broken into vertical and horizontal cells, and their
: differences is an interesting result, and I'll need to
: read over this last section of the poster more carefully
: before I can make any comments.

Thanks.

Best Regards,

Dongxiao


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